Israel is unlikely to be caught off guard like it was when the Yom Kippur War erupted in 1973, contend 43.5 percent of Israeli Jews in a new Israel Hayom poll; 31.8% believe Israel's enemies could launch a surprise attack, reminiscent of the events of Oct. 6, 1973; and 24.7% have no opinion on the matter.
The poll was conducted on Sept. 11 by New Wave Research using a random and representative sample of 500 Hebrew speaking Jews who are 18 or older. The poll's statistical margin of error is +/- 4.4%.
Asked who was the victor in the war, a majority (63.8%) said Israel, 14.4% said the Arab states, and 21.8% said they had no opinion. When asked if Israel had drawn the necessary conclusions in the aftermath of the war, 56.2% of respondents answered yes, and 23.9% answered no (19.8% had no opinion).
Israel's biggest mistake in the run-up to the war was its overconfidence according to 36.6% of those polled, with 20.1% blaming Israel's intelligence agencies. Israel's biggest mistake was belittling its enemies according to 15.9%, and 6.1% said the diplomatic stalemate in the 1970s was what led to the war's outbreak. Israel's chief shortcoming was the conduct of the military's top brass according to 3.4% of respondents; and 17.9% said they had no opinion.