Thursday October 23, 2014
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23.10.2014
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Daniel Pipes

Complex numbers

Of all the issues that drive the Arab-Israeli conflict, none is more central, malign, primal, enduring, emotional, and complex than the status of those persons known as Palestine refugees.

The origins of this unique case, notes Nitza Nachmias of Tel Aviv University, go back to Count Folke Bernadotte, the United Nations Security Councils mediator. Referring to those Arabs who fled the British mandate of Palestine, he argued in 1948 that the U.N. had a responsibility for their relief because it was a U.N. decision the establishment of Israel that had made them refugees. However inaccurate his view, it still remains alive and potent and helps explain why the U.N. devotes unique attention to Palestine refugees pending their own state.

True to Bernadottes legacy, the U.N. set up a range of special institutions exclusively for refugees from Palestine. Of these, the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees, founded in 1949, stands out as the most important. It is both the only refugee organization to deal with a specific people (the United Nations High Commission for Refugees takes care of all non-Palestinian refugees) and the largest U.N. organization (in terms of staff).

UNRWA seemingly definesits wards with great specificity: Palestine refugees are people whose normal place of residence was Palestine between June 1946 and May 1948, who lost both their homes and means of livelihood as a result of the 1948 Arab-Israeli conflict. The ranks of these refugees (who initially included some Jews) have, of course, much diminished over the past 64 years. Accepting UNRWAs (exaggerated) number of 750,000 original Palestine refugees, only a fraction of that number, about 150,000 persons, remain alive.

UNRWAs staff has taken three major steps over the years to expand the definition of Palestine refugees. First, and contrary to universal practice, it continued the refugee status of those who became citizens of an Arab state (Jordan in particular). Second, it made alittle-noticed decisionin 1965 that extended the definition of Palestine refugee to the descendants of those refugees who are male, a shift that permits Palestine refugees uniquely to pass their refugee status on to subsequent generations. The U.S. government,the agencys largest donor, only mildly protested this momentous change. The U.N. General Assembly endorsed it in 1982, so that now the definition of a Palestine refugee officially includes descendants of Palestine refugee males, including legally adopted children. Third, UNRWA in 1967 added refugees from the Six-Day War to its rolls; today they constitute about a fifthof the Palestine refugee total.

These changes had dramatic results. In contrast to all other refugee populations, which diminish in number as people settle down or die, the Palestine refugee population has grown over time. UNRWAacknowledges this bizarre phenomenon: When the Agency started working in 1950, it was responding to the needs of about 750,000 Palestine refugees. Today, 5 million Palestine refugees are eligible for UNRWA services. Further, according to James G. Lindsay, a former UNRWA general counsel, under UNRWAs definition, that 5 million figure represents only half of those potentially eligible for Palestine refugee status.

In other words, rather than diminish five-fold over six decades, UNRWA has the population of refugees increase almost seven-fold. That number could grow even faster due to the growing sentiment that female refugees should also pass on their refugee status. Even in about 40 years, when the last actual refugee from mandatory Palestine dies, pseudo-refugees will continue to proliferate. Thus the Palestine refugee status is set to swell indefinitely. Put differently, as Steven J. Rosen of the Middle East Forum notes, Given UNRWAs standards, eventually all humans will be Palestine refugees.

Were the Palestine refugee status a healthy one, this infinite expansion would hardly matter. But the status has destructive implications for two parties: Israel, which suffers from the depredations of a category of persons whose lives are truncated and distorted by an impossible dream of return to their great-grandparents houses; and the refugees themselves, whose status implies a culture of dependency, grievance, rage, and futility.

All other refugees from the World War II era (including my own parents) have been long settled; the Palestine refugee status has already endured too long and needs to be narrowed down to actual refugees before it does further damage.

Mr. Pipes (DanielPipes.org) is president of the Middle East Forum and Taube distinguished visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution of Stanford University. This article is based on a recent MEF seminar in Jerusalem on UNRWA.

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