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Home News Israel at War

No nuclear sites? Israel hopes to strike delicate balance in Iran hit

Sources close to the matter warn of a genuine risk that an Israeli attack leading to escalation could plunge the nation into a war of attrition. Israeli sources assess probability of targeting Iran's nuclear facilities is relatively low compared to other military and infrastructure options, because it would be ineffective in rolling back its know-how.

by  Shirit Avitan Cohen
Published on  10-13-2024 09:00
Last modified: 10-13-2024 19:53
LIVEBLOG: Israel vows harsh retaliation after Iran fires 180 missilesMenahem Kahana/AFP

Projectiles being intercepted by Israel above Jerusalem, following Iran's missile attack on Israel on Oct. 1, 2024 | Photo: Menahem Kahana/AFP

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In the shadow of American reservations and the looming US elections, Israel's intense deliberations on how to respond to Iran persist. The fact that the Diplomatic-Security Cabinet has yet to convene to empower the prime minister and defense minister on this matter suggests that a final decision remains elusive. Concurrently, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant's planned trip to the US remains unscheduled.

Insider information reveals that the ongoing discussions and consultations have factored in the US stance while exploring various scenarios for striking Iranian military installations. The goal is to inflict significant damage without provoking Iran into further escalation.

US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin (R) meets with Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant (L) at the Pentagon on June 25, 2024 in Arlington, Virginia. Photo credit: Andrew Harnik/Getty Images/AFP Getty Images via AFP

Israeli sources assess that the probability of targeting Iran's nuclear facilities is relatively low compared to other military and infrastructure options. They argue that a limited strike on nuclear sites would fall short of its primary objective: eradicating Iran's accumulated capabilities and knowledge. Sources close to the matter warn of a genuine risk that an Israeli attack leading to escalation could plunge the nation into a war of attrition characterized by repeated barrages targeting Israeli territory.

Unlike the familiar conflict cycles witnessed in Gaza in recent years, such a protracted engagement could significantly drain Israeli resources, exhausting both the military and civilian population far beyond any damage inflicted upon Iran.

Tags: IsraelUnited StatesYoav Gallant

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