This causes Iranian intentions to implement a certain plan to become perpetual, and this is true regarding their aspiration to destroy Israel. In the 12-day war, Israel dealt a severe blow (with US assistance) to Iran's nuclear program, but it appears that the intentions to return and achieve a deterrent nuclear capability have not left the minds of Iranian decision-makers. Both before the war and after it, there are generals of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps or parliamentary representatives who promise the achievement of nuclear capability that will bring about deterrence of Israel, so that it will not attack Iran and its allies, terrorist organizations, again.

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The historic flag of Iran – the Lion and Sun flag serving as a symbol for supporters of the exiled Shah and opponents of the regime – is being raised openly in public spaces. In an unusual incident at a Tehran metro station, two Iranian men dressed in military uniforms were filmed waving the historic flag. Raising the flag in a central location like the metro represents a clear act of rebellion against the Islamic Republic, especially when performed by individuals identified with the security system. The viral videos from this event are going viral in Iran.

A colonel-ranked officer (according to Iranian sources, retired), Ebrahim Agai Kumazani, came out publicly in a video against the ayatollah regime. He denounced the Iranian regime as an "unholy and false regime" with no connection to Iran's history or land. He accused the regime of treason, theft, fraud, creating crises, and spreading poverty and crime. The colonel expressed public support for Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi and called on the Iranian people "to rise up" and act to save Iran. The officer presented himself as a "soldier in the people's army."

Hours after Colonel Kumazani's video started circulating on networks, another officer, Colonel Sajjad Azadeh from Iran's ground forces, presented himself in another video as someone reinforcing the move against the regime. He also declared he is "a soldier of Iran's national army, and a soldier of the Lion and Sun flag." He promised that in the coming days "major events are on the way." The colonel announced that soon the rebels "will tear apart the darkness of lies, fraud, and occupation." This officer's joining the open call indicates a division trend permeating to the heart of the security system.

A new video surfaced in recent hours exposing an unprecedented level of defiance – three soldiers dressed in Iranian military uniforms were filmed burning pictures of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, while shouting "Long live the Shah!" and pledging allegiance to the Lion and Sun flag. This act symbolizes deep rebellion and represents support for the national cooperation campaign launched by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi. The campaign encourages mass desertions against the Islamist regime.

In the modern era, the possibility cannot be ignored that the videos circulating in Iran and stirring much unrest are AI videos, perhaps cooked up by a foreign intelligence agency to create unrest in Iran. However, the unrest in Iran is linked to the most severe crisis Iran has faced in recent decades – the water crisis, a truly critical and pressing issue. According to the latest released data, water reserves in Tehran are sufficient for only two weeks, and rare statements were heard from Iran's president about the possibility of "evacuating Tehran within a month." This unprecedented crisis is leading Iran to growing tensions, with the public pointing an accusing finger at the regime and its failed plans.

The possibility that the regime cannot provide water to its residents raises the question: Can a regime that cannot provide a basic existential need survive? As commentators note, a regime feeling the ground shaking beneath its feet might "flee forward" and open an external confrontation or war to try to unite the angry Iranian public around it.

Either way, the lethal combination of internal crises (water and economy) with what appears to be public calls for rebellion from within the military system indicates the Tehran regime stands at a decision point where widespread uprising is no longer a theoretical scenario but a real possibility, strengthening daily.

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"The truth is, contrary to what many commentators and analysts claim, Operation 'Al-Aqsa Flood' was a mistake. We believed this from the first moments we heard about the operation, and after two years have passed, we are even more convinced of it," the article states.

The article continues and lists the blows suffered by Iran's proxy organizations and claims they sustained damage that "destroys years of diligent and meticulous work. Syria's loss and its withdrawal from the anti-Zionist alliance, as it is swallowed by the US and Israel, is one of the most difficult losses in the past two years and should be seen as direct damage from Operation Al-Aqsa Flood," the article states.

The conservative newspaper also addressed the blows suffered by Hezbollah and the elimination of the organization's leader, Hassan Nasrallah, and connected Israel's achievements to Hamas' decision to launch an attack on southern communities. Regarding Israel's confrontation with Iran in Operation Rising Lion, the article takes a more cautious language and chooses to mention "the heavy losses Israel suffered" alongside describing senior Iranian officials and civilians killed in Israeli strikes in Iran. "The bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities is another disastrous consequence of the war Hamas started," the article states.

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The precise bounty amount of $18,341,623 has been distributed across regime-connected channels, labeled as a "donation" for any individual or organization successfully executing the American president. Accompanying materials feature Trump's image overlaid with crimson targeting symbols positioned directly over his forehead, alongside messaging incorporating "eternal blood" and "lasting peace" terminology drawn from jihadist and Shi'ite religious frameworks.

Meanwhile inside occupied Iran:

The terrorist Islamic Republic occupying Iran has put a bounty of over $18 million on President Trump's life.

Any questions? pic.twitter.com/t9v7yDJVHT

— Goldie Ghamari | گلسا قمری (@gghamari) July 6, 2025

 Promotional content accompanying the bounty appeals includes Quranic references urging Muslims to "fight with their wealth and their lives," representing language traditionally employed by extremist clerics to justify martyrdom operations. The religious framing transforms the assassination call from political opposition into what organizers present as a spiritual obligation.

President Trump saved both Khamenei's life and the regime in Iran, hoping it would change their behaviour.

Today, the regime showed their gratitude by issuing a fatwa against him, calling for his death.

There is a lesson here. pic.twitter.com/qoqYHRsC8z

— 𝗡𝗶𝗼𝗵 𝗕𝗲𝗿𝗴 ♛ ︎ (@NiohBerg) June 29, 2025

 This development follows sustained Iranian setbacks in covert operations against Israel and American interests, including infrastructure strikes targeting Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps facilities and the elimination of key operatives. Western intelligence officials, however, interpret the current bounty campaign as representing a qualitative escalation from symbolic rhetoric toward concrete incitement mechanisms.

A senior ayatollah maintaining close relationships with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei issued an explicit fatwa earlier this week demanding Trump's death, characterizing the president as an "enemy of Islam." While Tehran's official governmental apparatus has avoided public endorsement of the bounty initiative, Western intelligence officials warn of genuine threats emanating from regime-adjacent actors operating with calculated deniability.

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The 86-year-old Ayatollah, who had been in hiding due to concerns that he might also be targeted by the Israeli Air Force, stepped into the public eye after a full week of silence. His absence had triggered widespread rumors in Iran and abroad regarding his physical condition and ability to govern.

A message from the bunker

A week prior to Saturday's public appearance, Khamenei released a pre-recorded video message in which he hailed what he described as a "victory" over Israel and the US. "I find it appropriate to congratulate the great Iranian nation on its triumph over the false Zionist regime," he declared, claiming that "the Zionist regime was nearly crushed under the blows of the Islamic Republic."

He also dismissed the impact of US and Israeli strikes on Iran's nuclear program, asserting that Washington "gained nothing significant" and suggesting that President Donald Trump had staged a performance for the American public. Khamenei boasted that Iran delivered "a harsh slap" to the US in a missile attack on an American base in Qatar, though the strike had reportedly been coordinated in advance and occurred after the base was evacuated. He warned that Iran would exact "a heavy price" for any future aggression, vowing, "Our country is strong and will never surrender."

Ashura's symbolism

Khamenei's return was staged during Ashura, the annual commemoration of the death of Husayn ibn Ali, the grandson of the Prophet Muhammad, at the Battle of Karbala in 680 CE. The historic event has shaped the Shiite community for 1,345 years and became a central day of mourning, during which hundreds of millions of Shiites around the world hold mourning ceremonies.

Ashura mourning rituals often include self-flagellation ceremonies known as tatbir, where some Shiites inflict wounds upon themselves as an expression of grief. Both Khamenei and his predecessor, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, have publicly opposed these extreme displays. Nonetheless, Khamenei's choice to reappear on this specific day carries potent symbolism, casting Iran as the oppressed side in its confrontation with Israel and the US.

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The focal point of current attention centers on Iraq, where roughly 2,500 American military personnel operate from multiple installations, primarily the Ain al-Asad and Al Harir bases near Erbil. The pro-Iranian publication Al-Akhbar cited Baghdad sources confirming that several Shiite paramilitary groups within Iraq have elevated to heightened alert status.

A militia commander revealed, "All logistical and military preparations stand complete for executing precision strikes against American installations pending orders from axis leadership." He emphasized that any retaliation would prove "decisive, devastating, and likely commence within Iraqi territory." The commander insisted that Iraqi militias maintain active participation in strategic decision-making processes. Conversely, Iraqi security analysts have cautioned about the potentially disastrous consequences of direct engagement. These specialists warn that any assault could trigger comprehensive American military action across Iraq. Baghdad's government has transmitted similar warnings to militia groups, urging restraint to prevent Iraq's entanglement in broader regional warfare.

Similarly, Lebanon's administration exerts considerable pressure on Hezbollah to avoid military involvement. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam have publicly stated that Lebanon cannot afford participation in regional confrontation. Hezbollah leadership deliberated for extended periods following the American strikes before ultimately issuing a lengthy condemnation without explicit commitments to military action.

Asharq Al-Awsat sources revealed that Hezbollah leadership believes premature intervention would merely provide Israel with justification for expanded Lebanese operations. The organization calculates that immediate involvement would fail to alter the conflict's trajectory meaningfully. However, a senior Iranian official indicated that Hezbollah would engage should Iran's governmental stability face serious threat.

Nabih Berri, who leads the Shiite Amal movement and serves as parliamentary speaker, represents another influential voice counseling Hezbollah against intervention. Berri recently expressed confidence that Hezbollah would abstain from regional participation. Informed sources emphasized that "no division exists between Amal and Hezbollah regarding solidarity with Iran during this conflict." They clarified that no substantive disagreements separate the organizations, and Berri's statements reflect broader consensus rather than personal opinion.

Within this context, Hezbollah parliamentary representative Hussein Jishi explained this week, "Hezbollah maintains non-neutral status, and the resistance movement will determine how to manifest its position. Hezbollah need not necessarily adopt military postures. Iran possesses adequate self-defense capabilities."

The Houthis announced they are "awaiting Iran's determination." Concurrently, Yemen's Houthis (Ansar Allah) have reiterated previous threats targeting American vessels in Red Sea waters. Mohammed al-Bukhaiti, a prominent Yemeni organization official, stated, "Coordination continues with resistance axis partners regarding responses to American aggression, while we await Iran's guidance on response timing."

This constitutes a direct threat to breach the existing American ceasefire arrangement. Agreement violations could restart American coalition operations throughout Yemen. Approximately ten days ago, Israel conducted independent strikes in Sanaa. During that assassination operation, Chief of Staff Mohammed al-Rhamari sustained injuries, though his current condition remains unclear.

Given these circumstances, Arab observers questioned the apparent reduction in Yemeni rocket attacks. Abd al-Thur, an organizational commander, clarified that launches occur exclusively through coordination with the Iranian axis joint command structure. The Houthi leader informed Al-Quds Al-Arabi that "no operational reduction affects Yemen's activities, though these activities manifest only when they meaningfully impact Israel.

"Additionally, Iranian operations maintain high intensity across the complete regional scope. Yemen's contributions will emerge when they achieve significant effect." According to his assessment, "Yemen will maintain its surveillance responsibilities throughout Red Sea maritime traffic, monitoring American and other movements while maintaining readiness to engage any suspicious targets."

Simultaneously, operations against Hamas and additional Gaza-based terror organizations continue. Recent days witnessed Israeli forces eliminating operatives in Jabaliya within the northern sector, plus operations in Rafah and Khan Yunis. Hamas leadership maintains established positions regarding hostage negotiations while closely monitoring Iranian developments. The organization's supporters anticipate that Iranian axis responses will escalate regional conflict sufficiently to relieve pressure on Gaza operations.

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A disagreement exists between Israel and the United States regarding the effectiveness of eliminating Iranian leader Ali Khamenei. Nevertheless, he remains conscious of the threats against him and, according to The New York Times, has designated three potential successors to avoid a leadership vacuum.

The New York Times correspondent covering Iran, Farnaz Fassihi, posted this morning on X, "Iran's leader Ayatollah Khamenei is in a bunker, all his electronic communication suspended to protect him against assassinations and communication with him is limited and difficult. Until he speaks, Iran's definitive response to U.S. strikes on nuclear sites is not clear."

Ali Shamkhani undoubtedly tops the elimination list. He serves as Khamenei's senior advisor and is characterized by Israel as "the official responsible for the nuclear program." Shamkhani sustained injuries during Israel's initial attack over a week ago. Iranian reports indicate he underwent leg amputation and sustained severe injuries, though his condition has reportedly stabilized.

Last Saturday, prior to the American assault, he posted a multilingual message on X, including Hebrew, declaring, "It was my fate to survive wounded – so I remain, still the reason for the enemy's hatred. I'd sacrifice myself a hundred times for Iran. Fighting a nation of hope is a game that ends in ashes for its enemies. Victory, lit by martyrs' smiles, is near."

Beyond Shamkhani, Iran's revised military hierarchy faces targeting. At its helm stands Abdolrahim Mousavi, the former army commander designated to succeed the armed forces chief. This morning, he announced, "Throughout history, the Iranian nation has demonstrated that it never capitulates to aggression, instead resisting with maximum strength against the Zionist entity's invasion."

Previously, Mousavi occupied numerous roles, including serving on Iran's Supreme National Security Council and functioning as deputy army commander. Throughout the years, he labeled America "the Great Satan" and expressed that his ultimate aspiration was Israel's destruction.

Replacing General Hussein Salami, Mohammad Pakpour received the appointment, having previously commanded ground forces. He served in the Revolutionary Guards since the Iran-Iraq War era and spent years overseeing the suppression of uprisings in the northwestern region. American sanctions targeted him in 2019.

Mohammad Karimi represents another objective, having been designated ground forces commander. Prior to this appointment, he maintained a rank equivalent to brigadier general. Karimi gained notoriety as the merciless governor of eastern Iran's Sistan and Baluchestan province, brutally crushing Baluchi minority demonstrations. This potentially represents Khamenei's strategy for regime stabilization and intimidation of diverse opposition factions.

Following Abdolrahim Mousavi's designation as armed forces commander, Amir Hatami received appointment as army commander. Hatami initiated his Revolutionary Guards involvement through the Basij militia structure for protest suppression. He subsequently joined the army and fulfilled various roles, including deputy chief of staff. His 2017 appointment as defense minister was followed by service as Khamenei's military affairs advisor.

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pic.twitter.com/VoUY2xVnyK

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 17, 2025

 Meanwhile, the US military is sending additional fighter jets to the Middle East and extending the deployment of other fighter aircraft to strengthen American military forces in the region during the war between Israel and Iran. Three sources reported this to the American news agency Reuters. One source told the news agency that the deployment includes F-16, F-22, and F-35 fighter jets. Two sources emphasized the defensive nature of the fighter jet deployment.

Earlier, US Vice President JD Vance wrote on his X account (formerly Twitter), "POTUS has been amazingly consistent, over 10 years, that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon. Over the last few months, he encouraged his foreign policy team to reach a deal with the Iranians to accomplish this goal. The president has made clear that Iran cannot have uranium enrichment. And he said repeatedly that this would happen one of two ways--the easy way or the "other" way. He may decide he needs to take further action to end Iranian enrichment. That decision ultimately belongs to the president. And of course, people are right to be worried about foreign entanglement after the last 25 years of idiotic foreign policy. But I believe the president has earned some trust on this issue."

Earlier, Donald Trump said he wants a "real end" to the nuclear problem and does not intend to settle for a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. In another statement, he said he aims for "unconditional surrender" by Tehran and may send senior officials to meetings with Iranian representatives. Meanwhile, the White House published a series of the president's past tweets, emphasizing that his position has not changed, and the aspiration is to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz also sent a threat to Tehran – and stood by Israel in its efforts to damage the nuclear project, stating, "If Tehran does not surrender, complete destruction of its nuclear program is on the table – this is something they cannot do alone."

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Russia has started taking an active role in the diplomatic efforts surrounding the conflict between Iran and Israel. According to information obtained by Israel Hayom, Putin initiated a phone call with his American counterpart, President Trump, at Iran's request.

Following the conversation, in which Trump likely made it clear that he would not restrain Israel, Putin sent a warning to Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, stating that his regime is in danger. Putin informed Khamenei of the call's outcomes and advised him to move quickly toward negotiations. Additionally, Putin ordered the evacuation of Russian embassy personnel from Tehran.

Against the backdrop of Putin's warning, US President Donald Trump spoke on Sunday to ABC News, expressing openness to Putin's involvement in mediating between Israel and Iran. "He's ready," Trump said. "He called me about it. We had a long conversation about it."

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