Nvidia stock – www.israelhayom.com https://www.israelhayom.com israelhayom english website Wed, 19 Nov 2025 22:27:38 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.2 https://www.israelhayom.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/cropped-G_rTskDu_400x400-32x32.jpg Nvidia stock – www.israelhayom.com https://www.israelhayom.com 32 32 NVIDIA crushes analyst expectations with $57 billion quarter; guides for massive Q4 https://www.israelhayom.com/2025/11/19/nvidia-earnings-ai-market-geopolitics-israel/ https://www.israelhayom.com/2025/11/19/nvidia-earnings-ai-market-geopolitics-israel/#respond Wed, 19 Nov 2025 20:40:07 +0000 https://www.israelhayom.com/?p=1104199 As NVIDIA releases its Q2 earnings, the tech world watches to see if the AI boom continues or stalls. With a projected $3-4 trillion market at stake, CEO Jensen Huang must navigate US-China tensions and regulatory threats while maintaining dominance. Israel's role as a key R&D hub makes the report critical for the local tech sector, Israel Hayom reports.

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Global attention fixated on NVIDIA today as the corporation unveiled its third quarter financial results. The company reported a stunning beat, resulting in a positive reaction on Wall Street after hours trading. Blackwell chips sales are "off the charts" Jensen Huang said as earnings report showed major outperformance of analysts expectations. He added that "cloud GPUs are sold out".

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) continued its dominance of the artificial intelligence sector, reporting record-breaking revenue for the third quarter that significantly outperformed Wall Street projections.

The chip giant posted revenue of $57.0 billion, marking a staggering 62% increase compared to the same period last year and comfortably beating the analyst consensus of $55.09 billion.

NVIDIA achieved a gross margin of 73.4% and an operating income of $36.0 billion, translating to an exceptional operating margin of 63.2%. The company's profitability was equally striking, with operating income reaching $36.0 billion, demonstrating exceptional operational efficiency even as it scales. Net income followed suit, jumping 65% year-over-year to nearly $31.9 billion (or $1.30 per share). Looking forward, the company signaled that the AI boom is far from over, issuing guidance for fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $65 billion and noting that demand for its next-generation Blackwell chips is already "off the charts."

"During the first nine months of fiscal 2026, NVIDIA returned $37.0 billion to shareholders in the form of shares repurchased and cash dividends. As of the end of the third quarter, the company had $62.2 billion remaining under its share repurchase authorization," the company said in a statement.

Smashing the projections

NVIDIA didn't just meet expectations; it surpassed them by nearly $2 billion on the top line.

  • Revenue Beat: Actual revenue of $57.0 billion vs. Consensus of $55.09 billion (a beat of $1.91 billion).

  • EPS Beat: Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share came in at $1.30, beating the consensus estimate of $1.26.

The primary engine for this outperformance was the data center segment, which generated a record $51.2 billion in revenue alone: up 66% from a year ago. This single segment now accounts for the vast majority of the company's total intake.

Guidance blows past estimates

Perhaps more impressive than the current results is NVIDIA's outlook for the future. The company provided fourth-quarter revenue guidance of $65.0 billion (plus or minus 2%).

This forecast stands well above the consensus estimate of $61.84 billion, suggesting a difference of over $3 billion between NVIDIA's internal visibility and Wall Street's models. The company also forecasted strong non-GAAP gross margins of roughly 75.0% for the upcoming quarter.

NVIDIA Q3 Fiscal 2026: Actual vs. Consensus

Metric NVIDIA Actual / Guidance Analyst Consensus Difference (Beat)
Q3 Revenue $57.00 Billion $55.09 Billion +$1.91 Billion
Q3 Adjusted EPS $1.30 $1.26 +$0.04
Q4 Revenue Outlook $65.00 Billion $61.84 Billion +$3.16 Billion

Note: Q4 Revenue Outlook represents the midpoint of the provided guidance range (+/- 2%).

"Insatiable" Demand for AI

The driving force behind the surge remains the company's next-generation hardware. In the press release, NVIDIA founder and CEO Jensen Huang emphasized that demand is outstripping supply.

"Blackwell sales are off the charts, and cloud GPUs are sold out," Huang stated. "Compute demand keeps accelerating and compounding across training and inference, each growing exponentially."

Huang described the current market environment as a "virtuous cycle of AI," noting that the ecosystem is scaling rapidly across various industries and countries. "AI is going everywhere, doing everything, all at once," he added.

The corporation published its third-quarter numbers and future outlook on the investor relations segment of its web portal at 4:20 p.m. ET, about half an hour after Wall Street trading concluded. A subsequent discussion with management began at around 5 p.m. ET via the same platform, arriving as anxiety regarding the immense capital expenditures on artificial intelligence by Silicon Valley giants increases. The stunning beat appeared to soothe the concerns of circular funding between the major AI players, with after hours trading showing green candles for the 5-trillion company. 

NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang against the backdrop of an Israeli NVIDIA office (Courtesy of NVIDIA Israel; Patrick T. Fallon / AFP)

Before the smashing earnings report, observers questioned if CEO Jensen Huang would validate the AI revolution's ongoing surge or perhaps warn us that demand for the GPUs (its processing units that allowed fast computations with AI capacities) had plateaued, less than a decade after his company made perhaps the most important decision in its history: buying a small Israeli company named Mellanox, from Yoqne'am.

Gaining essential Ethernet and InfiniBand tools for high-performance AI centers made the 2019 Mellanox deal a pivotal moment. That acquisition rendered the Jewish state and the tech giant "inextricably linked", establishing Israel as the company's second-biggest R&D hub outside America.

Nvidia controls roughly 80% of global AI GPU spending in 2025. Its data center unit generated $41.1 billion in Q2. Reports provide insights into AI adoption and cloud spending. CEO Jensen Huang projects $3-4 trillion in infrastructure spending by 2030. Financial Times noted that the company's performance is a barometer for the sector.

STREET EXPECTATIONS

The report was a a beat across the board, and a record, just weeks after the company has recently reached a record market cap of 5 trillion dollars, the first company ever to do so.

Transitioning from a graphics processor manufacturer to an AI infrastructure titan marks the firm's successful metamorphosis, driven by the stagnation of traditional silicon progress known as Moore's Law.

NVIDIA, OpenAI CEOs Sam Altman and Jensen Huang (AP Photo/Alex Brandon; Leon Neal / POOL / AFP; REUTERS/Dado Ruvic)

Recent performance history shows the equity has consistently surpassed Wall Street predictions in its previous three financial summaries, bolstering shareholder belief in operational fulfillment amidst unprecedented requests for AI frameworks. Yet, the last profit victory, the August earnings report for Q2,  failed to calm fears regarding a deceleration after data center revenues of $41.1 billion missed projections marginally, causing a sell-off, even though the revenue fell short only because China was denied access to its chips because of newly imposed US restrictions. The stock subsequently recovered losses to hit fresh peaks. 

Addressing the limitations of current technology at a global Saudi-American innovation summit on Wednesday morning, Huang argued that "Moore's law has run its course" and that meeting the world's "demand for computing versus the amount of computation we can get out of general-purpose computing is really challenging." He cited a dramatic shift in hardware infrastructure to illustrate this, noting that while CPUs powered 90% of the world's top supercomputers just six years ago, that figure has plummeted to "less than 15%" today. "You're seeing that inflection point," Huang stated, describing a massive "transition in high-performance computing from general-purpose computing to accelerated computing" that the industry has been pushing toward for "over 20 years."

Regarding fears of an overinflated market, Huang emphasized that "several hundred billion dollars of computation is done on just raw data processing" that traditionally "had nothing to do with AI." He explained that as these existing workloads and recommender systems, which he called "the engine of the internet today",transition to GPUs, they naturally pave the way for new technologies like "agentic AI." When you "take that into consideration," Huang concluded, it becomes clear that the investment required to "fuel that revolutionary agentic AI is not only substantially less than you thought, and all of it justified."

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When does Nvidia report earnings? What could happen? https://www.israelhayom.com/2025/11/19/nvidia-earnings-ai-spending-volatility-huang/ https://www.israelhayom.com/2025/11/19/nvidia-earnings-ai-spending-volatility-huang/#respond Tue, 18 Nov 2025 23:13:12 +0000 https://www.israelhayom.com/?p=1104051 At 4 p.m. ET (right after the markets close on Wall St.), the company is expected to release the figures for Q3 and guidance for the current quarter and year ahead on its investor relations section on its website. The conference call, which people can join through the site, will be held an hour later (at 5 p.m. ET). Nvidia investors face a potential $300bn market value swing as the chip giant releases quarterly results amid "peak AI" concerns. Financial Times reports that options markets imply significant volatility, with analysts watching revenue forecasts closely.

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Investors prepare for a valuation swing approaching $300 billion following Nvidia's (NVDA) quarterly update Wednesday.

At 4 p.m. ET (right after the markets close on Wall St.), the company is expected to release the figures for Q3 and guidance for the current quarter and year ahead on its investor relations section on its website. The conference call, which people can join through the site, will be held an hour later (at 5 p.m. ET), as unease regarding Silicon Valley's massive artificial intelligence spending grows. Financial Times notes options trading implies a 6.4% price shift for the chipmaker on Thursday. 

This volatility follows an 11% share price drop for the firm, which briefly hit a $5 trillion market cap in late October, driven by a broader sell-off among major artificial intelligence players.

Will Jensen Huang deliver once again a crushing earnings report? (REUTERS/Ann Wang; REUTERS/Dado Ruvic)

Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI's chief equities strategist, was quoted by FT as saying, "The angst around 'peak AI' has been palpable." The California firm's disclosures heavily influence the tech-dominated US market given its central role in the artificial intelligence boom, according to Financial Times. Wednesday's figures arrive as sector enthusiasm cools, with the Nasdaq Composite falling over 4% recently and major drops for Meta and Oracle.

The company stock has demonstrated remarkable consistency in exceeding Wall Street expectations across its last three earnings reports, reinforcing investor confidence in the company's execution amid record demand for AI infrastructure, but the most recent earnings beat was not enough to assuage investors concerns of a slowdown after it said that data center sales of $41.1 billion fell slightly short of expectations, resulting in a market sell-off. However, it then pared its losses and even reached new high. In recent days it shed some gains because of the macro concerns in the industry and overall investor sentiment on the so-called "AI bubble" and potential funding obligations for various players in the field. The following table documents the company's projected versus actual earnings results:

Here are the figures for Nvidia's most recent earnings reports.

Fiscal Quarter Projected EPS Actual EPS Beat/Miss Projected Revenue Actual Revenue Result
Q2 FY2026 (Aug 2025) $1.01 $1.05 ✅ Beat (+$0.04) $46.05B $46.74B Beat
Q1 FY2026 (May 2025) ~$0.94 $0.81 (GAAP) / $0.96* ✅ Beat* $43.2B $44.1B Beat
Q4 FY2025 (Feb 2025) $0.84 $0.89 ✅ Beat (+$0.05) $38.32B $39.3B Beat

Why Nvidia earnings matter

Nvidia's quarterly results carry outsized significance for the broader market due to the company's commanding position in AI infrastructure and its substantial weight in major indexes. Nvidia's grip on the AI chip market is extraordinarily tight: The company controls roughly four of every five AI GPU dollars spent globally in 2025, a competitive moat that positions it as the essential infrastructure vendor for every organization building AI systems. The result is dramatic revenue concentration within a single business: The data center division generated $41.1 billion over the second quarter, a figure that represents nearly nine of every ten dollars the company collected and implies the segment is expanding at a 56% annual rate.

The company's GPU shipments and data center revenue serve as critical barometers for the health of AI capital expenditures, with CEO Jensen Huang projecting $3-4 trillion in global AI infrastructure spending through the end of the decade. Consequently, Nvidia's earnings reports provide investors with authoritative insights into AI adoption trends, cloud spending patterns among hyperscalers like Microsoft and Amazon, and the sustainability of the AI boom that has propelled technology stocks to record valuations.​

Mike Zigmont, co-head of trading at Visdom Investment Group, told FT: "In the run-up to Nvidia's earnings announcement, we're experiencing cold feet and worry that prices went too high to justify." He added, "If Nvidia delivers disappointing guidance Wednesday, the [market] is going to sink significantly."

AI's moment of truth could come on Wednesday during Nvidia's earning report release (AI-generated)

What analysts expect

The Street is bracing for Nvidia to deliver $1.26 in adjusted EPS, which would translate to roughly 6-in-10 earnings growth compared to year-ago levels and represent an 18% step-up from the prior quarter's $1.05.

Wall Street's consensus revenue target clusters in the $54.6 to $55.2 billion band – a range that embeds roughly 56% growth versus the prior year and approximately 17% sequential expansion from Q2's $46.74 billion run rate. The critical nuance: Street participants are signaling that anything in the $55 billion vicinity would represent a meaningful outcome, with sub-$55 billion results likely disappointing investors who have front-loaded such elevated expectations. Bull-case scenarios from major investment banks like Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan suggest potential for Q3 revenues to approach or exceed $56 billion, contingent on Blackwell shipment acceleration outpacing prior guidance.

Wednesday saw Asian exchanges faltering as apprehension regarding AI-focused tech valuations depressed the mood prior to Nvidia's earnings release. Overnight drops of 1.2% hit the Nasdaq, stretching declines into a second session and pulling back over 6% from record highs set in late October. While futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 dipped deeper, European futures showed mixed results. Japan's Nikkei, suffering the region's sharpest monthly fall of roughly 7% in US dollar terms, erased initial advances to flatline. Both Hong Kong stocks, down 0.5%, and mainland China indexes, which held steady, reacted to the shift.

Nvidia's contribution to the artificial intelligence surge has driven the global rally lifting AI-connected shares and the tech sector for many months, but there is concern this at some point will have to plateau as demand ultimately declines, with the Q2 Nvidia figures (a slight miss on the data centers) being one such indication, although this was explained as a direct result of the restrictions on doing business with China. Compounding investor uneasiness are uncertainties regarding potential December interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve, alongside fears that President Donald Trump's slipping approval numbers might trigger inflationary fiscal spending. These elements prevented safe-haven US Treasuries from rallying, keeping the 10-year benchmark yield at 4.12%.

What to watch in the results: Key metrics that will drive the stock

The earnings report will reveal several critical metrics that traders and institutional investors will dissect for clues about Nvidia's near-term trajectory and the health of the broader AI infrastructure cycle. Blackwell GPU execution represents the highest-stakes metric, as successful production ramp and early shipments of the B200 and B100 processors will validate management's guidance and signal whether the company can overcome previous supply-chain constraints. Analysts expect Blackwell to contribute meaningfully to Q3 results, with Morgan Stanley noting that the acute supply-side friction that plagued Nvidia's operations has substantially eased at the GPU level, though the company now faces competing limitations in complementary infrastructure – particularly power delivery, server architecture, data center real estate, and storage systems – rather than chip fabrication capacity.​

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang gestures in July 23, 2025. The company has recently announced a purchase of an Intel stake, potentially boosting US-based production instead of Taiwan (REUTERS; REUTERS/Dado Ruvic) REUTERS; REUTERS/Dado Ruvic

Data center revenue and margin integrity will determine whether Nvidia can maintain premium pricing despite increased competition. Investors expect the segment to deliver approximately $48 billion in revenue, or roughly 87-89% of total company sales. Additionally, traders will scrutinize inventory levels and order pipeline visibility, as hyperscaler overcapacity or hesitation to place new orders could signal that the AI investment cycle is moderating.​

Forward guidance for Q4 represents the single most important catalyst for the stock's immediate reaction. Analysts project between $61.29 billion and $61.57 billion, but guidance below $60 billion would be viewed as severely disappointing and likely trigger a sharp selloff. Management commentary on several qualitative factors will also matter enormously: The confidence level around continued cloud provider commitment to AI capex, commentary on China market prospects amid export restrictions, and clarity on the competitive landscape as AMD, Intel, and custom chips from hyperscalers gain adoption. Finally, traders will listen closely for any discussion of the $500 billion in chip orders Jensen Huang announced in September, attempting to gauge when those commitments will convert to actual revenue.​

Nvidia stock volatility: Historical reactions to earnings

Nvidia's share price has historically exhibited significant volatility around earnings announcements, with single-day moves often exceeding 5-10% depending on whether results meet or miss expectations relative to the elevated consensus forecasts. Market participants are bracing for a 6% to 8% implied move in the stock immediately following the Q3 report, based on options market pricing. Historical patterns reveal that Nvidia's post-earnings performance varies considerably depending on the magnitude of earnings beats and guidance revisions.

 

Microsoft, Meta and Google mostly beat earnings expectations on Oct. 29, 2025 (EPA, Reuters)

Over the past four quarters, Nvidia has experienced highly disparate outcomes depending on whether management commentary reinforced or tempered market optimism about AI demand durability.

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