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Home Analysis

War's progress has stalled due to lack of clear policy

As the government wavers indecisively, dwindling international support leaves leaders needing to decisively pursue victory.

by  Ariel Kahana
Published on  04-07-2024 11:47
Last modified: 04-07-2024 15:19
LIVEBLOG: 8 terrorists eliminated, 15 arrested in 35-hour anti-terrorism operation in Tulkarm; Eilat rocket alert result of misidentificationIDF Spokesperson's Unit

Israeli soldiers in the Gaza Strip | Photo: IDF Spokesperson's Unit

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Half a year after the brutal Hamas attack, a cloud of paralysis envelops our defense war. When it comes to the war's objectives – the destruction of Hamas and the return of the hostages – the ongoing situation is that of indecision.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu wants Rafah but does not give a final order for the IDF to operate in the city. A deal would mean succumbing to Hamas' impossible demands, something to which no Cabinet member agrees. On the other hand, Netanyahu is also afraid to decisively cut off talks, lest Benny Gantz and Gadi Eizenkot accuse him of abandoning the hostages. The Americans are putting spokes in our wheels as well (why are they even asked), and so the war stagnates.

As Israeli leaders fail to make a coherent decision, international support is gradually fading. This was clear even before the Biden-Netanyahu call on Thursday, and it intensified a thousandfold afterward. Biden still does not demand to stop the war outright and still supports the goal of destroying Hamas, but as the White House statement after the call showed – it's becoming harder for him by the day.

As the presidential election campaign progresses, the fear that he will lose his job over support for Israel becomes real. Biden, justifiably from his point of view, will prefer his survival over Israel's, so it's unclear what we expect.

Regarding Trump, he has taken a vague stance on the war – wisely, he thinks – to enjoy the political fruits, but even Trump has stopped understanding Israel.  "I am not sure that I am loving the way they're doing it, because you've got to have victory," he said in a radio interview this week.

The passage of time from the horrors of Oct. 7 is depleting international credibility, joining the endless pressures of the pro-Hamas community in the West. We will forever remember what Amalek did to us – but the world forgets. Thus, talks of an embargo against Israel are spreading, with hints at international arrest warrants. The sand in the hourglass is running out, and we act as if there's no tomorrow.

Israel's security doctrine states that we should strive for a swift victory in wars, yet the political and military leadership that led us to this slaughter has, for some reason, also abandoned this important principle.

The War Cabinet pre-approved the military's proposal for a war that would last a year as if Israel has veto power of its own in the Security Council. And now – six months have passed, and the US is the last one remaining to defend us in this hostile forum, and even for them, it's becoming difficult to continue.

To get out of this mess and achieve the war's objectives before the loss becomes final, Netanyahu, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Ge. Herzi Halevi, and Gantz must make a decisive cut. Here and now. Not to procrastinate, not to delay. To decide and act.

Since the chances of a deal are slim, the logical step is to invade Rafah. It's also the only chance to bring back the hostages. But if that's impossible – it's okay if the opposite decision is made. The main thing is to move, and not to sink into the mud.

The history of most of the current leadership tells us that their inclination is passive and reactive. Netanyahu as prime minister, and Gantz and Eizenkot as chief of staff and his deputy, were the ones who hesitated for 50 days during Operation Protective Edge in 2014, failing to defeat Hamas. They are now obligated to prove that they are also capable of achieving a different result – a decisive victory, and to do so as quickly as possible - contrary to their nature.

If they are capable of this – good. If not – they should make way for others. Time is short, and the war is still raging.

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