Analysis

Based on Israeli evaluations, approximately 100,000 civilians have left the city while hundreds of thousands more stay in it, and the aim is to quicken and amplify the trend.

One can welcome the Lebanese government's decision to task the Lebanese army with formulating a plan to disarm Hezbollah, but also assume – with a sober look – that the likelihood of this happening is slim.

Hezbollah's leader Naim Qassem is trying to apply counter pressure on Lebanon’s government in light of its intention to disarm the terrorist organization. In this fight, Hezbollah wants to see blood. How should Israel act?

Activation of the snapback mechanism now seems almost inevitable. The move is not the preferred option for the E3 powers, but faced with a choice between damaging their credibility or reducing the chance of a deal, they have opted for the lesser evil.

Despite formal peace treaty, Egypt maintains hostile military posture while relying on Israeli energy supplies that prevent nationwide electrical grid collapse.

Oren Hazan threat of lawsuit against the AI model became a viral joke, but raises serious questions – the Israeli legal system has yet to establish a clear position regarding artificial intelligence responsibility and it seems that updated legislation is already needed for the new reality.

While the Iranian regime struggles with a severe water crisis and sharp internal criticism of President Masoud Pezeshkian, who supports negotiations and transparency with the public, assessments of a high likelihood of another war continue to hang in the air.

Linked to Iran, imprisoned in Israel, and narrowly escaping several assassination attempts that claimed the lives of his family members, Khalil al-Hayya was appointed deputy to Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar in 2021 and now serves as Hamas’ chief negotiator.

As Hamas continues stalling prisoner exchange negotiations despite Israeli flexibility on key issues, Israeli policymakers will have to choose between full territorial conquest, maintaining current military positions, or implementing a controversial siege strategy that has divided military and political leadership.

If Israel ultimately decides to strike Iran, the range of potential scenarios spans from a complete obliteration of Tehran’s nuclear facilities and a tectonic regional shift led by Jerusalem, to a disastrous entanglement in retaliatory missile barrages and a bleak security and diplomatic horizon. But between those extremes lies a third path.