US intelligence agencies conclude that Tehran is unlikely to soften its position, according to sources in Washington and Jerusalem, as Israeli officials assess that a kinetic US action against Iran could come within days to weeks.
The IDF believe that despite optimistic signals emerging from the recent talks in Geneva, the conditions for a potential US strike on Iran are increasing. In response, israel factors in the possibility that Tehran could launch long-range missiles towards it.
Satellite data exposes Iranian efforts to fortify infrastructure and restore missile capabilities amid stalled negotiations.
Axios reported, citing sources close to President Donald Trump, that a potential US strike on Iran would not be short and focused like the operation in Venezuela, but would instead last at least several weeks. More than 150 US military cargo aircraft have landed in the Middle East over the past day.
Israel's former Military Intelligence chief rattled the country with a live-air travel alert. The world's largest prediction market is pointing to a different date entirely.
A Western diplomat described the talks as “one step forward and two hiding behind,” with Tehran showing willingness to compromise on the nuclear issue and proposed regional economic initiatives. However, it is rejecting international inspections and deep disputes with Washington remain.
The second round of talks between the US and Iran ended in Geneva after about five hours, Araghchi said: “The discussions were more serious, but no date was set for the next round." According to The Wall Street Journal, Iran proposed not resuming enrichment and transferring part of its enriched uranium to another country, but refused to give up enrichment entirely.
Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz for several hours as the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps launched missile fire as part of a large-scale naval drill, while Russia and China announced they would join joint exercises in what appeared to be a show of force against the US presence in the Persian Gulf.
Trump envoys meet Iranian officials Tuesday while regime leader warns American navy faces destruction. Tehran announced the Strait of Hormuz would be closed to all types of shipping for several hours due to an exercise being conducted by the IRGC Navy.
Dozens of Iranian protesters were shot at point-blank range with live ammunition during the regime crackdown, according to a series of X-rays smuggled out of the Islamic Republic and published by the British Guardian, proof of what doctors say was a deliberate policy of firing with the intent to kill.
