While the Trump administration celebrates a diplomatic breakthrough, Jerusalem's insistence on demilitarizing the south stands in the way of Ahmed al-Sharaa's ambitions to crush Druze autonomy.
Current momentum of demonstrations does not suggest toppling is likely. According to Israeli sources, while a significant development that requires close monitoring, as of now, the growing consensus is that Tehran's internal tensions will not be directed toward Israel.
Report: Secret meetings between Quds Force and Houthi leaders have focused on graduated escalation scenarios, including maritime disruption in the Red Sea and operations targeting Israeli interests in the Horn of Africa.
Reza Pahlavi, the eldest son of Iran's last shah before the 1979 revolution, tells supporters now is the time to topple regime. "The Islamic Republic of Iran today is weaker and more divided than at any point since 1979."
Hospital raid by security forces draws international condemnation as unrest spreads nationwide.
The Defense Council warns against "interventionist remarks" from the US and Israel and asserts right to strike first if hostile intent is detected. “Any infringement on national interests, interference in internal affairs or action against Iran’s stability will be met with a proportionate, targeted and decisive response."
A report in the Lebanese daily Al-Akhbar claims agreement stipulates that if Tehran refuses a new deal, new offensive will proceed, with a stark warning issued to Lebanon: Maintain neutrality or face a devastating Israeli offensive against Hezbollah strongholds in Dahiyeh and the Beqa'a.
With a "divine mission" and paranoia, the Iranian leader prepares to abandon Tehran for Russia if his grip on power falters, echoing Assad's survival tactics, Sunday Times reports.
Amid pressure from President Donald Trump’s envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu may authorize the reopening of the crossing. If and when that happens, its operating framework would be far more effective from Israel’s perspective than in the past, featuring remote oversight, European screening facilities and a secured entry corridor.
Senior Iranian officials who spoke with The New York Times said Iran’s leadership lacks the tools to cope with the crises it is facing, including nationwide protests, a deepening economic emergency and the prospect of another round of confrontation with Israel and the US.
