While it is premature to predict the ultimate outcome of the current wave of protests in Iran, the prevailing assessment within Israel's defense establishment is that the regime will survive the current unrest and will not turn to strike Israel. This view was confirmed by security officials who spoke with Israel Hayom on Tuesday.
According to these sources, while the protests in Iran are a significant development that requires close monitoring, they must be viewed with perspective. As of now, the growing consensus is that Tehran's internal tensions will not be directed toward Israel at this stage.
The officials further noted that toppling the regime would require far more than the demonstrations currently sweeping the country – a fundamental shift that does not appear imminent. However, ongoing security evaluations are being held constantly as Israel continues to track any potential developments or changes on the ground.
United States President Donald Trump recently dismissed a proposal by United States Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff to renew negotiations with Iran via Saudi and Omani mediation, opting instead for an aggressive strategy of economic and military pressure.
During his meeting with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the leaders reviewed a detailed intelligence file covering the nuclear program, the ballistic missile array, and the Iranian terror network. The two established a precise timeline for handling the Iranian threat, including red lines regarding the missile program. Trump also vowed to protect the Iranian protesters, declaring: "The US is locked, loaded, and ready to go."
