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NVIDIA stock surges in Q2 amid AI boom

Company surges 44% in Q2, in part due to commanding 80–85% share of the AI data center chip market. But can it keep climbing?

by  Erez Linn
Published on  07-01-2025 07:00
Last modified: 08-28-2025 08:23
NVIDIA stock surges in Q2 amid AI boom

Nvidia's CEO, Jensen Huang, attends a round table discussion at the Viva Technology

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NVIDIA's stock has soared 44% in the second quarter of 2025, reaching a 52-week peak near $158. In May, the company announced first-quarter revenue of $44.1 billion, a 69% year-over-year surge that exceeded analyst forecasts of $43.2 billion. Adjusted earnings of 96 cents per share also outperformed expectations of 88 cents. NVIDIA's commanding 80–85% share of the AI data center chip market, driven by its cutting-edge Blackwell platform, has fueled this ascent. Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya, cited by Benzinga, boosted his 2027 earnings projection to $7.23 per share, highlighting NVIDIA's unmatched position in AI hardware.

Nvidia's CEO, Jensen Huang, looks on as he answers questions from members of the media at a press event in Taipei (Reuters /Ann Wang)

Challenges persist, notably export restrictions on NVIDIA's H20 products to China, enacted on April 9, which limit its market reach, as noted by Yahoo Finance. Yet, Arya emphasized that NVIDIA's 40–50% growth rates showcase its ability to navigate these hurdles. The Motley Fool highlighted Wall Street's confidence, with Arya setting a $180 price target and noting that NVIDIA's price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio of under one positions it as a "value stock" relative to the broader S&P 500. The company's surge in recent years could be traced, at least in part, to one brilliant decision from 2020, when it decided to acquire the Israeli company Mellanox, which gave it the edge it needed just when the AI revolution was getting underway.

Over the past year, NVIDIA executives, including CEO Jensen Huang, divested over $1 billion in stock, with more than $500 million sold in June, according to Yahoo Finance. Huang's transactions, part of a prearranged plan from March, included 100,000 shares for $14.4 million and 50,000 shares for over $7 million, per Entrepreneur. If completed, his plan to sell 6 million shares by December could yield over $900 million, as reported by Fox Business. These sales aligned with NVIDIA's stock reaching a record high above $154, per Yahoo Finance.

With a market cap of $3.8 trillion, NVIDIA has nearly quadrupled in value over two years, propelled by AI demand, per Yahoo Finance. However, competition from tech giants like Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft, developing their own AI chips, poses a potential threat to margins, according to The Motley Fool. Still, analysts from Loop Capital and Barclays project valuations up to $6 trillion, driven by NVIDIA's 95% AI chip market share, per Yahoo Finance.

NVIDIA is expanding its US presence, planning to produce AI supercomputers with Blackwell chips in Arizona and Texas, as noted by Fox Business. Global partnerships with France, Italy, and the UK to develop AI infrastructure using NVIDIA's GPUs further solidify its dominance, per Yahoo Finance. Veteran analyst Jim Cramer, quoted by TheStreet, rejected bearish sentiment, comparing NVIDIA to a vital supplier in the AI revolution.

Tags: 7/1AI chipsJensen HuangNVDANvidia

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