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Trump’s Iran dilemma

Iran's growing incentive to escalate leaves Trump with no easy way out

Deliberations in Tehran over a shift to an “offensive approach” reflect a change in Iranian thinking: The greater the economic pressure, the stronger the incentive to initiate a new conflict. Sanctions are hurting, but they are unlikely to force the regime into a public surrender. Washington will have to choose between costly, unpredictable escalation and accepting Iran’s terms. 

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Trump’s Iran dilemma

Iran's growing incentive to escalate leaves Trump with no easy way out

Deliberations in Tehran over a shift to an “offensive approach” reflect a change in Iranian thinking: The greater the economic pressure, the stronger the incentive to initiate a new conflict. Sanctions are hurting, but they are unlikely to force the regime into a public surrender. Washington will have to choose between costly, unpredictable escalation and accepting Iran’s terms. 

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