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Mati Tuchfeld

Mati Tuchfeld is Israel Hayom's senior political correspondent.

Is COVID the only thing keeping unity government alive?

Holding out hope that the premiership rotation deal will take place is the only thing currently keeping Blue and White leader Benny Gantz in the government. One has to wonder if calling another election would really be such a bad thing.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu may have aspired to limit anti-government protests during the pandemic, but the bill seeking to curtail the demonstrations has only spurred them on.

It's getting harder to argue that all protesters are "anarchists." When you see entire families standing on a bridge calmly. Holding signs and flags, you cannot compare them to the rioters outside the PM's residence in Jerusalem, who are self-professed anarchists. Clearly, anti-government protests now encompass the entire Left.

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However, consider this: the protests may be a problem for Netanyahu, but they pose a bigger problem for Blue and White leader Benny Gantz. They comprise mostly what he sees as his base, even though most of them – stunned by the decision to join forces with Netanyahu despite his explicit campaign promises – are highly unlikely to vote for him again.

Blue and White decision to support the bill limiting protests was a new low in the party's short history, and many believe MK Asaf Zamir's decision to resign as tourism minister over the vote will herald many similar moves.

The aftershocks of Zamir's decision are rattling the chairs of several ministers – perhaps even the one under Gantz.

Right now, it seems the only thing keeping him in the government is the slim chance that the coalition will survive long enough for the rotation agreement to take effect in November 2021 and he will become prime minister.

This is why Gantz continues to hold his tongue and this is why he will also have to support Netanyahu's demand to pass a law ensuring he will be able to serve as prime minister-designate when Blue and White take over, as stated in the coalition agreement, regardless of any ruling to the contrary by the High Court of Justice.

Since Zamir dropped his political bombshell, Gantz has been busy with damage control. The rapid nomination of MK Orit Farkash Hacohen as Zamir's replacement, ordering Justice Minister Avi Nissenkorn to appoint a state attorney, and releasing statements "understanding" Zamir's decision were all meant to appease his vexed constituents, although it is doubtful it did any good.

Logic would have it that the national unity government should have dissolved by now. Blue and White has been acting as an internal opposition within the coalition for a long time, all but crippling the government.

In the current political reality – and thanks to several articles in the coalition agreement – Netanyahu cannot fire Blue and White ministers, giving them the option to publicly attack him, violate coalition discipline and undermine the very government in which they sit.

Under these circumstances, another general election no longer sounds like the worst possible scenario. Not when you look at the alternatives because it is becoming very clear that there are now. The previous transitional government was able to quell the coronavirus before and it may be able to do it again. Right now, however, it seems that COVID is the only thing keeping the unity government alive.

 

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