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Jalal Bana

Jalal Bana is a media adviser and journalist.

Will the Palestinians soon have their own Arab Spring?

Having lost faith in the Palestinian Authority, many Palestinians are reverting to tribal law. With tensions on the rise, we may soon see a popular Palestinian uprising that brings the Fatah party's rule to an end.

 

Tensions are high in the Palestinian territories. One could even describe the situation as a powder keg, in particular among young Palestinians from Jenin in the north to Hebron in the south.

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In Jenin, the tensions, the result of various events in recent years, have led to difficult confrontations between hundreds of youths and Palestinian security forces in recent days. Tensions are particularly high following the murder of 21- year-old Mahran Khalilia, a student at the city's American University, during a brawl with other youths. Numbering in the thousands, his relatives have declared a ban on opening the university and a majority of students are now attending classes online.

The degree of tensions between the Palestinian public, in particular among the younger generations, and the police and security forces is on the rise and could explode at any minute, resulting in what could transform into an internal Palestinian intifada and a "Palestinian Spring."

Alongside the difficult economic situation in the territories, the unemployment rate is very high, in particular among academics. Over a year into the coronavirus pandemic, the domestic Palestinian political situation is not at its best either. Elections have not been held for many years, the leaders fulfill their roles without any public support or legitimacy, the Palestinian parliament is irrelevant, the justice system does not work, nor do the police, whose principal task is to maintain the regime's rule. In addition, the PA presidency and its leadership are weaker than ever, and the internal political rift is growing.

All this is leading the Palestinian public to rely on itself and its social leadership and revert to tribal laws. This is precisely what led Khalilia's relatives to join forces and demand such laws be implemented. And according to tribal law, as long as the suspect of a crime remains unpunished, all of his nuclear and extended family members can be targeted with crimes such as arson or murder.

To a majority of the Palestinian public, the PA is no more than a security mechanism that coordinates security with Israel and maintains PA President Mahmoud Abbas's and his Fatah's party rule. It won't be long before we see a popular uprising that is liable to bring Abbas's rule to an end in the same way other Arab rulers have head their regimes brought to an end.

Events in the PA can influence what happens in Israel because a majority of them could be exported to Israel. This, in turn, will lead to either a confrontation or a wave of the kind of lone-wolf terror attacks we have witnessed in recent months. The security mechanisms in Israel and in the PA control the situation for now, but they will be hard-pressed to control the initiatives of individuals who carry out attacks without divulging any of the details of their plans.

Special attention must be paid to what is happening in the territories, in particular among Palestinian youths, who can be inspired by other peoples and spark an uprising against their rulers that will alter the situation on both sides of the Green Line.

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