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Dan Schueftan

Dan Schueftan is the head of the International Graduate Program in National Security Studies at the University of Haifa.

Biden's approach is worrisome, but tolerable

Washington might not be as dependent on the Middle East as it was in the past, but the region is still an important strategic position for the superpower.

 

As the months go by, US President Joe Biden's foreign policy is becoming more and more evident. As worrisome as it is, it seems what Israel feared the most – that the new government will follow in the footsteps of the Obama administration – will not happen. At least not for now.

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Biden is mistaken about several significant matters, and he does give in to the pressure from the progressives in his party, but, unlike former President Barack Obama, he is well aware of the strategic needs of the United States and its allies.

Israel might not have as much room for maneuver as it did during Donald Trump's presidency, but it can still negotiate with the Biden administration when it comes to its security.

The good news is that despite going through a Democratic era, Washington can still recognize that it has enemies in the world, like China and Russia, that will not shy away from undermining the superpower's domestic and international standing.

Biden is politely referring to them as "competitors," but he understands full well that some nations will only respect the rules of the game when it is imposed on them by force.

Biden has no trouble recognizing a threat. What he does not understand, however, is that his multilateral approach might not be the most efficient one. Applying cross-continental pressure on Russia and China is obviously advantageous, but even in this matter, the US president cannot fully trust the Europeans.

They have barely contributed to their share of European defense within the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and Washington's Asian allies are so economically dependent on Beijing that their ability to support US sanction efforts is questionable.

When it comes to the Middle East, Biden understands that continuing Obama's delusional idea – that supporting the Palestinian struggle would stabilize the region – would be a mistake. When it comes to the nuclear deal, however, the US administration has decided to side with Iran, thinking that renewing the agreement will stop the Islamist Republic from becoming a nuclear threshold state.

Unless new Iranian president Ebrahim Raisi undermines these efforts with a kind of provocation not even Washington could tolerate, the renewal of the nuclear agreement is bad news for Israel and the whole region.

Luckily, if one looks at the bigger picture, one will see that the US will not abandon Israel and its Arab allies in the Middle East, because it will realize, sooner or later, that it needs us more than ever.

The US might not be as dependent on the region with its oil production as much as it was in the past, but the Middle East is still an important strategic position for the US, albeit one that can drag the superpower into an unwanted crisis.

That is why, in order to stabilize the Middle East, working together with Israel, Saudi Arabia and Egypt is of utmost importance for Biden.

Winston Churchill reportedly said, "You can always count on the Americans to do the right thing after they've tried everything else."

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