Are the Gulf states more afraid of Trump or Iran?
Qatar hoped its close ties with Iran would protect it in a time of crisis. Instead, the latest conflict has reinforced an old lesson: when Tehran senses weakness, it tends to strike even harder.
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Iran forces Trump to make a choice, the price could be war
Tehran is betting that Trump does not want a large-scale war and will prefer to focus on preventing an Iranian nuclear weapon while accepting Iran’s control of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran’s new leadership is pragmatic enough to pursue an agreement, but not to relinquish what it sees as a crucial source of leverage. The situation could spiral beyond Iran’s control, and Trump’s, ending in escalation.