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The Mossad fantasy of installing a puppet in Tehran and partnering with Kurdish militias collapsed under geopolitical realities, leaving Israel to face a far more dangerous and empowered Iranian regime.
Western observers tend to dismiss the new supreme leader’s threats as mere rhetoric. In reality, revenge is an ideological imperative that Iran has sought to put into practice by recruiting operatives and activating proxies inside the US.
All signs indicate that the sale of F-35 fighter jets to Turkey will go ahead. While Trump’s move could eventually create a direct threat to Israel, it can still be used to reinforce Israel’s military superiority, but only if Israeli officials do not waste time.
Tehran is betting that Trump does not want a large-scale war and will prefer to focus on preventing an Iranian nuclear weapon while accepting Iran’s control of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran’s new leadership is pragmatic enough to pursue an agreement, but not to relinquish what it sees as a crucial source of leverage. The situation could spiral beyond Iran’s control, and Trump’s, ending in escalation.
Many senators support Israel, believe in the justice of America’s cause and are outraged by Iran and Russia. Of all of them, only Lindsey Graham turned that burning conviction into a lifelong mission, even though there was little political reward in it for him.
The Indian prime minister's words were more than lip service and flattery. They were a compass that could show Israel where the rising power is headed, as it proved immediately after Oct. 7 when it sent weapons and artillery shipments while the Biden administration delayed arms deliveries to Israel. Modi's speech was one Vance apparently missed.
Israel is losing its standing on the international stage because it continues to rely on military achievements alone, while the battle over consciousness and influence has become the new decisive front. Establishing a national influence apparatus could strengthen Israel’s value in the eyes of its allies and make it vital to them in the future.
JD Vance's claim that Israel has no friends in the world misses the depth of its ties with countries such as India. Even more troubling is the assertion that Israel is trying to "kill its way" out of its security crises. In the face of stereotypes that have seeped into the American mainstream, Israel must make clear: It makes peace when possible and fights when it has no choice.
Trump staged the spectacle, Erdogan claimed the stage, but Europe’s real move was building a security order Turkey cannot veto and America cannot monopolize.
Hamas’ announcement that it is prepared to transfer civilian rule is an inevitable step from its perspective, meant to advance civilian aid and reconstruction. But it does not amount to relinquishing its military power or the many centers of influence it maintains over the population. The Gaza front must remain active until Israel achieves all the goals it has set there.
